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Archives: December2011

Variability of photovoltaic systems is an important and often misunderstood topic.  SunPower has been a pioneer and leader in efforts to better characterize variability and its impacts, and has helped develop a substantial body of work on the topic.  It has been consistently demonstrated that the variability of a single, relatively small PV system is much greater than that of many distributed PV systems – and that large, utility-scale PV systems demonstrate substantially lower variability than small systems in the same location.  The following article by guest blogger Richard Perez provides an excellent introduction to the topic.  
 
Owners of PV systems know first-hand that passing clouds cause rapid changes in the amount of energy produced from second to second. The impact of this short term power “variability” on system owners is usually seen rather than felt because during times of low production, electricity from the grid picks up the slack. This is good for PV system owners, but makes it difficult for grid operators, who are charged with providing reliable energy for their customers. 
 
One way for utilities to manage variability is to ramp up other power plants, but that increases the costs and complexity of managing the electric power distribution system. Fortunately, recent studies have found that renewable energy sources that are distributed across a wide geographic range greatly reduce the effects of weather-related variability to the overall electric system. This means that more “dispersed” residential and commercial PV is good for utilities. 
 
Electric grid operators became aware of the difficulty variability posed when information about short-term variability in a 3.5-megawatt plant in Springerville, Arizona was widely circulated in 2009. The analysis revealed frequent ramping up and down of the plant’s production as a result of passing clouds. This prompted utilities and agencies across the U.S. to ask themselves: “How would power fluctuations be handled if PV reached a sizeable fraction of power production?” The implication of the Springerville analysis was that short-term fluctuations in power production within a particular region are an obstacle to large-scale PV deployment. 
 
As a result of the Springerville analysis, the questions about short-term variability were taken up by the U.S. Department of Energy and the California Solar Initiative. Unsurprisingly, research confirmed that conditions can be highly variable at any given location. But on the positive side, research also revealed that spreading PV systems out over a larger area mitigates the problems of short-term variability. The truth of this finding is supported by the probability theory’s law of large numbers, and has been proven through recent studies. 
 
The following image illustrates this principle by showing how distance can “smooth” variability. The data in the top part of the figure shows 10-second solar radiation (irradiance) at a single location in Napa, California, on November 21, 2010. The data in the bottom half of the figure presents the same irradiance data, but measured at 25 locations in a 1.5 square mile grid rather than at a single location. The data in the bottom half of the figure is much smoother, without large short-term fluctuations.
 
Richard Perez Irradiance Data

A similar study in New York compared the variability of a single PV system versus a large number of systems deployed over a 25 square mile area. The study found that power output variability of PV systems distributed across a region is similar to the demand-side variability impacts that utilities have experienced for many years. Namely, that a single customer might be quite “noisy,” with local fluctuations caused by the starts and stops of systems and equipment, while the city-wide load experiences almost no short-term fluctuations. In the same way, the power fluctuations at a single PV system location can be substantial, but fluctuations decrease as the footprint of distributed systems increases. 
 
The efforts taken over the last few years to observe, understand and quantify the influence of space and time on PV energy production are making it easier for grid operators to manage short term variability.  These findings, and the introduction of tools to assess the impact of new PV systems on the overall electric grid, support the continued expansion of dispersed residential and commercial PV systems, and the ability for grid operators to get the most from their solar resources. 

For further reading:

Richard Perez co-authored the paper, "Solar Resource Variability: Myth and Fact," published in the September/October 2011 edition of Solar Today, with Tom Hoff, Founder and President, Research and Consulting at Clean Power Research

Richard Perez
Richard Perez
Senior Research Associate, University of Albany, Atmospheric Sciences Research Center
Albany, NY, United States

“Our SunPower solar energy system is everything our dealer said it would be, and is worth the investment.”
Trevor Ledet, Louisiana
 
If you live in certain areas of the world – the Gulf States of the U.S. or the Pacific Rim, for example – you know all about humidity. Just walking around on a moist, hot day can make you feel like you’re melting. Have you ever thought about what happens to your solar panels in high humidity?
 
The fact is that moisture (whether from humidity, rain, fog or snow) can corrode the internal metal components of conventional solar panels, severely compromising performance.
 
SunPower's reliable solar panels, however, feature our patented Maxeon solar cells, which use a thick coating of copper, topped with corrosion-resistant tin for consistent, long term solar system performance
 
How can we be sure? SunPower’s research and development team tests solar panels at three times the industry standard for moisture and humidity certification. In these tests, panels are subjected to 85% humidity at temperatures up to 185° F to ensure they will generate clean, renewable power for a full 25 years or more on your rooftop. Leading conventional panels begin to fail under these conditions, but SunPower panels continue to deliver power reliably.
 
Don’t just take our word for it, though. Here’s what two of our customers in Louisiana have to say about the real world conditions in which their SunPower solar power systems perform:
 
“Our SunPower 6.025-kilowatt solar system was installed in July 2010, and it has exceeded our expectations. We have a gas/electric home that uses about 14000+ kilowatts a year, and our system has reduced our use of grid-supplied electricity by 63%. That’s a reduction of 9000+ kilowatts in the first full year, well above the projected estimates guaranteed by our contractor, South Coast Solar.  

“I’d had concerns about wind, hail, and heat/humidity. In Southern Louisiana in the middle of summer, with 99° temperatures and consistent 90% humidity, walking outside is like walking through hot water. You wonder how anything could withstand that for 25 years! But so far, so good. Our system hasn’t missed a beat. The production levels have been the same both summers, and the panels seem to be handling the heat and moisture just fine. 

“We’ve also been through a few light hail events with no damage, and a Category 1 hurricane with no wind issues. Thus far the system is everything SunPower and our installer, South Coast Solar, said it would be, and I am very pleased. In fact, we were so happy with our system that both my in-laws and my brother purchased SunPower systems of similar sizes. Thanks again for this great product.”
Trevor Ledet, Louisiana
 
“We live in an 1880 New Orleans “Shotgun Camelback" house. New Orleans, like many places in the Gulf region, experiences high humidity year-round. For six months out of the year, the dew point is above 60 °F, and for three months of the year it's above 70°F. Most summer mornings, the relative humidity is above 80%.

“Maintaining a 130-year-old house like ours requires constant vigilance, because the high humidity here tends to promote mold and wood rot. At least we don't have to worry about our solar panels. We’ve had a 5-kilowatt SunPower system on our roof for 18 months. Thanks to our PV system and other efficiency upgrades, we’ve reduced our electricity and gas bills by 70%.

“Living in Hurricane Alley, we were actually more concerned about wind damaging panels than humidity. But the system has held up well, and we’ve been surprised at how flawlessly it has performed. The panels have produced about 10% more solar energy than they were originally rated for. The support has been great as well – in a year and a half, the only hiccup we've experienced was when a lightning storm tripped the fuse on the inverter, which our SunPower installer fixed within an hour.”
Z Smith, Louisiana
 
Want more details? Watch this new video about SunPower performance when things get sticky. Then join the conversation! 

Marty Neese
Marty Neese
Chief Operating Officer, SunPower Corporation
San Jose, CA, United States
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